-
We Are Expecting Massive Auroras!
We are expecting massive Auroras incoming over the next few days. There are quite a few flares and CMEs incoming with no end in sight right now to elevated activity. The next question will be whether this will continue to grow as it rotates around Earth, or will it blow itself out?? I will be posting video updates. Make sure you like and follow us on YouTube to help us out.
-
Do We Have More Auroras Coming?
Good afternoon, everyone! We woke up to the news that we had an X1.79 flare and CME. Don’t get excited yet. Fortunately for us, the CME was caught by a filament, which captured and pulled energy back toward the sun. We will get some activity from the flare, but not the blast from the CME. This is a good thing. Had this been released directly on Earth, it could have created issues with power, internet, and cell phone coverage. Not what we need in the middle of snowstorms. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zWAULtxz424&t=1s Now we do have some developing coronal holes opening on the northern and southern hemispheres. And some filaments by 4274 are developing enough to be a potential for eruption. And it looks like we have a new sunspot region on the incoming limb. There is a new sunspot 4279, which is just developing Alpha-class spot. 4276 & 4277 are beta-gamma, both are still dropping C C-class flares. 4274 has continued to reorganize. We are up by 24 new spots. Think of this like a hurricane, as…
-
Could We Get More CMEs From 4274?
I am sure many of our aurora hunters and wondering if there will be more CMEs from 4274? I think to explain we need to take a look at both observed patterns on the sun, what is happening and history. Then you can draw your own conclusion, make your predictions and see if you are right. To figure this out, I think we have to take a historical look at the pattern on your sun. Typically, Sunspots have been really active as they turn into the incoming limb, but then quiet to near no activity till they rotate past Earth-facing by about a day. As they get closer to the outgoing limb, their activity increases significantly and they remain very active on the back side of the sun. The main driver of any activity will come from 4274, which is drawing the majority of the sun’s electromagnetic energy. Statistics are telling us that this sunspot is down by 14 individual sunspots but has grown by 180 which in layman terms is it grew by nearly…
-
Has Sunspot 4274 Lost Power?
The question on everyone’s mind is whether sunspot 4274 started losing power. As sunspot 4274 rolls into Earth-facing, it seems be be taking a brief break. This is actually pretty standard behavior for sunspots to quiet just before they hit Earth-facing. It usually takes a couple of days and a rotation out of direct connection with Earth, and it will pick up activity again. 4274 is still Beta-gamma-delta and is approximately 1900 million miles across. If you look closely, you can still see a lot of green negative polarity peppered into the yellow and red positive areas. This means this is still highly unstable and can kick back in at any moment. We now have two new sunspots rotated into view and another developing. 4277 & 4278 are only Beta class sunspots and likely to stay that way as long as 4274 is strong and drawing power. They are still able to drop solar storms, though. 4276 is Beta-Gama and a little more organized than the other spots; it is kicking out some of the…